NFL Week 8 Thursday Recap

Friday, 26 October 2018 / Published in Bookie Tips

Texans’ quarterback Deshaun Watson dominated the Miami Dolphins in Houston’s most complete game yet this season. The Texans beat Miami 42-23 primarily based on Watson’s quarterbacking skills.

Online bookies that used their layoff accounts made nice profit. Those who believed in the Dolphins to keep up with Watson, didn’t do so well. Let’s recap NFL Week 8 Thursday Night Football, Miami at Houston!

Texans’ Deshaun Watson Has Best Game Ever as a Pro

Key Plays:  Deshaun Watson’s 5 Touchdown Passes

Because of rib and lung injuries the past few weeks, Deshaun Watson couldn’t show NFL fans exactly how good he is. He showed them how good he is on Thursday night, that’s for sure. Watson threw an incredible 5 TD passes.

The touchdowns were for 13, 2, 73, 49, and 2 yards. Watson has now thrown more TD passes in 15 games than Dan Marino, which makes him one of the best young quarterbacks in NFL history. He obliterated Miami’s defense with the 5 touchdown passes.

The Dolphins had no answer even though on paper both quarterback Brock Osweiler, who spent a season as a Houston Texan, and running back Kenyan Drake had decent games. Osweiler threw for 241 yards while Drake scored a rushing TD and a receiving TD.

Casual and Pro NFL Bettors Got it Right

NFL handicappers had a bead on Texans versus Dolphins almost immediately after odds makers set the line. The -6.5 went up a full point to Houston -7.5 within hours. It remained at Texans -7.5 even though pro NFL bettors didn’t get involved until Wednesday and Thursday morning.

The pros either sat out the game or backed the Texans with minimal dollars. Any pro or casual bettors who went with Miami didn’t invest enough to change the line. Often, with lines of over 7 points, pro handicappers take advantage right before kickoff. That didn’t happen this time.

The signs pointed to Houston covering, which is what they did. Pay per head agents made the right choice by using their layoff accounts. The saying we’ve created in these blogs, “When in doubt, lay off,” applies to any game that bookies aren’t comfortable with.

Juice is profit no matter what. Keep that in mind unless your own handicapping backs up any layoff account shedding suggestion.

Texans and Dolphins Demolished the Total

The action on the total went from 45 to 44.5 back up to 45 and even up to 45.5 before finally settling at 45 before kickoff. While bettors had a great idea about how Houston might cover, they had no clue about the total.

The Texans almost got the over by themselves. Miami pitched in with 23 points. The game went over the total by 20 points. Nobody had this one figured out, not odds makers, not NFL handicappers, nobody.

Houston Now on the Right Track while Dolphins Aren’t

After losing 3 straight to start the season, the Houston Texans won their fifth straight on Thursday night. Amazingly, Houston leads the AFC South Division because even though they started the season big losers, the Tennessee Titans, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Indianapolis Colts have worse records than what the Texans have.

But, Houston’s only 2 games ahead of 2-5 Indianapolis, which means after a great 2017, the AFC South is once again one of the worst divisions in football. The Texans don’t care. The goal’s to make the playoffs. Houston sure looked like a playoff team on Oct. 25.

Miami’s a big contrast to the Houston Texans. The Dolphins started the season hot, winning their first 3, and have now lost 4 of their last 5. Coach Adam Gase said it best during last night’s press conference:

“I’m fairly irritated right now,” Gase said. “I’m going to re-evaluate everything this weekend and figure out how to get better on defense, figure out how to sustain drives and get the ball into the end zone on offense.”

Texans and Dolphins Look Ahead

The Houston Texans head to Denver. If the Broncos upset the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, odds makers will favor Denver. Because of their offense, the Texans can hang with anyone. Use your layoff accounts no matter who’s over bet.

The Dolphins should be over bet in their Week 9 game against the New York Jets. Miami coach Adam Gase truly wants to turn things around. He’s a smart, capable, coach. Per head agents should expect Miami to come out with a lot of fire against NYJ. Definitely use your layoff account if Fins over played.

NFL Betting Stats Update

Top 5 ATS and Over/Under

  1. Kansas City Chiefs 7-0-0 ATS, 4-3-0 O/U
  2. Detroit Lions 5-1-0 ATS, 5-1-0 O/U
  3. Cleveland Browns 5-2-0 ATS, 3-4-0 O/U
  4. New Orleans Saints 4-2-0 ATS, 3-3-0 O/U
  5. Washington Redskins 4-2-0 ATS, 2-4-0 O/U

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