NFL Thursday Week 6 Recap

Friday, 12 October 2018 / Published in Bookie Tips

The Philadelphia Eagles finally put together a complete game while the New York Giants showed that they’re miles away from fielding a winning team after NFL Week 6 Thursday Night Football. Ultimate Per Head bookies should have used (or…not used!) their per head software to ensure profit after the Eagles dominated the Giants 34-13. Most bookies might have seen this coming while many bettors obviously didn’t.

Check out what led to the Eagles’ stunning victory as well as the ATS and Over/Under effect. We also take a look ahead to what’s in store for both the Eagles and Giants heading into Week 7.

Wentz and Eagles Finally Get on Track

Philadelphia Eagles 34, New York Giants 13

Key Plays:  Carson Wentz Shredding the Giants’ Defense

After backup quarterback Nick Foles led the Philadelphia Eagles to a Super Bowl victory, many NFL fans and analysts believed Philly should have traded Carson Wentz. Trading Wentz high, the thinking went, could lead to draft picks while Foles had just secured the Super Bowl MVP.

The Eagles stood pat. On Thursday night, standing pat proved to have been the right call because Wentz dominated the New York Giants. Wentz completed 26-of-36 for 278 yards. He threw 3 TD passes.

Much of Wentz’s success can be attributed to a healthy Alshon Jeffery. Wentz targeted his top wide receiver 12 times. Jeffery showed no ill effects of his earlier season injury, catching 8 of the 12 passes for 74 yards. 2 of Jeffery’s 8 catches went for touchdowns.

Because Wentz had so much success passing the ball, the Eagles’ rushing attack found success as well. Finally this season, Philadelphia ran for more than 100 yards, rumbling for 108 from 31 carries. Wendell Smallwood led the team with 51 yards from 18 carries while Corey Clement pitched in 31 yards and a rushing TD from 11 carries.

Against the Spread Action Implied a Giants’ Victory

Hopefully, online bookie agents didn’t use their layoff accounts if the Giants were over bet in their sportsbooks. The line opened at Eagles -3.5. By kickoff, it had fallen a full 2 points to Eagles -1.5. All late action, mostly from gameday casual bettors and pro bettors, fell onto the Giants.

The Giants also likely garnered the most action on the moneyline before the spread dropped so far that bookies took the straight up wager off. The Eagles proved that bettors can’t follow the money in the NFL. Just because a team garners more action than the other, it doesn’t mean the team automatically covers the spread.

Bettors won’t learn to not follow the money in the NFL after a single game. Bookies should find plenty of more opportunities where they should consider not using their layoff accounts.

Barely Over Game Had Bettors Nervous

While sports bettors had no idea how Philly at NYG might go against the spread, they had a bead on the total. The total only went over by 1.5 points. The total opened at 45. It went all the down to 43.5 before settling at 45.5 before kickoff.

Over bettors probably high-fived each other at halftime because the Eagles were up 24-6. But, Philly and NYG only accounted for 17 points in the second half bringing the total to 47. No doubt, plenty of hand wringing and sweat falling from brows happened in the game’s final quarter.

Bookies couldn’t have scripted betting on the total any better. A half a point move either way signals that neither the under or over has been played more than the other.

Giants Just as Bad as Last Season, Eagles Finally On Track

The Giants are awful. What’s crazy is that New York’s not paying attention to silly things. In this game, wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. went to the locker room before halftime due to dehydration. Really? You’re playing in an NFL game and you didn’t make sure you were ready?

Most Giants’ fans blame the loss on Eli Manning. Yes, Eli hasn’t played well this season, but he also don’t play defense. The Giants have work to do on both sides of the ball.

Philadelphia played a complete game, but before we get ahead of ourselves, remember that they played that complete game versus the New York Giants. Dallas, Carolina, New Orleans, and Jacksonville had all beaten the Giants before Philly did.

Eagles and Giants Look Ahead

New York is at Atlanta on Oct. 22. The Giants can beat the Falcons. Falcons aren’t any better than NYG. Remember that if Atlanta’s over bet as a -5.5 to -7 favorite.

The Eagles battle the Carolina Panthers at home. If Philly can dominate a good Carolina team the way they dominated a good New York Giants team, we can say they’re for real. Depending on the spread, and how much action falls on Philadelphia in your pay per head sportsbook, you might want to keep the layoff account under wraps.

NFL Betting Stats Update

Top 5 ATS and Over/Under

  1. Kansas City Chiefs 5-0-0 ATS, 3-2-0 O/U
  2. Cincinnati Bengals 4-1-0 ATS, 4-1-0 O/U
  3. Cleveland Browns 4-1-0 ATS, 2-3-0 O/U
  4. Detroit Lions 4-1-0 ATS, 4-1-0 O/U
  5. Chicago Bears             3-1-0 ATS, 2-2-0 O/U

 

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