NFL Monday Night Week 6 Recap

Tuesday, 16 October 2018 / Published in Bookie Tips

The home team took it straight up even though they bombed against the spread. More than a few online bookies had liabilities in their sportsbooks on the Green Bay Packers. Turns out that not using their layoff accounts led to huge profit because the Packers struggled to just win the game.

Check out a recap of one of the season’s most exciting Monday night games along with our patented bookie insights and a Packers vs 49ers look ahead!

Green Bay Packers 33, San Francisco 49ers 30

Key Play:  Kevin King Interception With Around a Minute Left

Yes, Mason Crosby kicked a game-winning field goal as time expired only a week after missing 4 field goals to the rival Detroit Lions, but Crosby wouldn’t have ever been in the position for the game winner if not for Kevin King’s interception while the San Francisco 49ers were driving towards Green Bay’s goal line.

King intercepted 49ers’ quarterback C.J. Beathard with 1:07 left on the clock and, get this, the 49ers on the Packers’ 10-yard line. Talk about a bad time for a turnover!

Even then, San Francisco appeared set to push the game into overtime until Richard Sherman provided one of his patented pass interference penalties to extend Green Bay’s drive. On the play where Sherman made illegal contact, the Packers faced a 3rd and 15. Not only that, but the 49ers had just sacked Aaron Rodgers.

After Sherman’s awful play, Rodgers scrambled for 21 yards to set up Crosby’s game winner.

Packers vs 49ers Perfect Example of Layoff Account Over Usage

It’s certainly understandable why per head agents used their layoff accounts on San Francisco at Green Bay. Almost every sportsbook on the planet faced a liability on Green Bay’s side. Famous William Hill opened their line at Packers -7.5 before it climbed up to Packers -9.5.

The line settled at Packers -9, which means some pro NFL handicappers lent a hand to even out the dollars, but Green Bay vastly underperformed against the spread, just like they have for most of the season.

Those bookies that had a liability on the Packers and ignored their layoff accounts made out big time.

Another Crushed Total on Monday Night Football

San Francisco and Green Bay crushed over the 46.5 total by 16.5 points on Monday night. That’s the second straight NFL Monday night game where a couple of teams have decimated the total. The Saints and Redskins pummeled over the total by 10.5 points in New Orleans’ 43-19 win in Week 5.

Will the over trend on NFL Monday Night Football hold? The Giants battle the Falcons on Monday night in Week 7, but then New England’s at Buffalo on Oct. 29. Buffalo’s defense plays well while the Patriots face one of the worst scoring units in the NFL.

So far, the Monday night total’s 4-3 over/under. Although it feels as if every Monday night NFL game’s gone over the totals this season, odds makers have a bead on how the public’s betting totals. Tough not to use the layoff account when both odds makers and the public appear to have gotten things right.

Packers and 49ers Look Ahead

Green Bay’s got their bye in Week 7. In Week 8, the Packers are at the L.A. Rams. Based on how Green Bay’s fared against the spread, the Rams could create a liability in your sportsbook. If they do, consider allowing the liability to stand just because Green Bay should score with the Rams. Plus, they’ll have had an extra week to prepare.

The 49ers host the Rams in Week 7. Los Angeles is 0-3 ATS in their last 3, which means San Francisco could make it 2 straight against the spread as a +11 home dog. If you’re worried, use your layoff account. But, if you don’t mind the risk, push the layoff account to the side.

NFL Betting Stats Update

Top 5 ATS and Over/Under

  1. Kansas City Chiefs 6-0-0 ATS, 4-2-0 O/U
  2. Detroit Lions 4-1-0 ATS, 2-3-0 O/U
  3. Baltimore Ravens 4-2-0 ATS, 2-4-0 O/U
  4. Cincinnati Bengals 4-2-0 ATS, 4-2-0 O/U
  5. Miami Dolphins 4-2-0 ATS, 3-3-0 O/U

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